CMC Markets专栏-高盛买入澳币预期澳/美走升

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2015-09-30 08:16:03 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Max 文章类型：转载

高盛集团资产管理开始买入澳币，认为市场对于中国经济的担忧过于严重，同时，由于美联储取消9月份进行加息的决定，使得澳币会有可能出现大幅度的反弹。高盛集团基金经理Philip Moffitt认为澳币对美元有可能反弹至75美分左右。另外，澳大利亚开始增加对于新兴市场的国债的购买，如墨西哥、巴西等国的债务资产。

澳币与中国沪指走势图

资料来源：布伦伯格

本周全球股市、债务收益率与大宗商品再次滑落，主要是由于中国经济增长的放缓与美国取消货币政策收紧的担忧，但Moffitt表示，中国的减速并不是失去控制而且美联储的保持其利息的决定也给澳币带来一个机会。他说到：“购入澳币的理由来源于美联储的表态与现行点差的扩大，我们正在投资组合中增加一点澳币的持仓量。中国经济有所走弱，但并不是整盘的中国社会形势，实际上在某些领域发展形势很好”。他所管理的高盛集团基金达多于1万亿美元的资金管理组合。Moffitt表示他看到中国经济放缓的速度减慢，但零售业、房市和消费主导行业始终强劲。“我们意识到减速是事实，但并不是超量的全局减速”。

一家纽约私营研究中心CBB国际集团也支持这个观点，其对于中国第三季度调查显示，占中国产业链多余一半的服务行业的销售、价格、销量与投资消费均出现增长。中国经济减速主要体现在公共领域，但是营业增长只是适度减速。同时，私营企业显示从高速增长中的轻微下行走势。

谈及澳洲央行的货币政策，他表示，由于澳联储的政策会对整个国家产生影响，基准利率可能在一段时间内会保持不变。但澳大利亚官方利率很有可能在未来的时间内再次下调到2%以下。

如有更多问题，欢迎致电：澳大利亚免费中文电话：1300 668 268
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