CMC Markets专栏: 乳制品价格下跌, 纽币承压
2015-10-21 07:17:14
来源：CMC Markets
编辑：Max 文章类型：转载
昨日全球乳制品拍卖价格较前置下降3.1%，乳制品平均价格降至2735美元/公吨，其中全脂奶粉价格为2694美元/公吨，较前置下跌4.6%。乳制品价格终结四连胜，而且远低于新西兰恒天然乳业的预期。纽币对美元应声下跌50余点，一日整体下滑0.54%，由最高0.6848跌至最低0.6735，后反弹至0.6755附近。
本次拍卖价格远低于新西兰恒天然乳业预期，尤其是全脂奶粉价格是决定新西兰原奶收购价格的主要因素。根据恒天然乳业首席财务官（CFO）Lukas预期本次全脂奶粉价格将在3000美元-3200美元/公吨，以能够支持本产奶季原奶收购价格可达4.6纽币/公斤。
全球乳制品拍卖价格百分比变化
全球乳制品10年拍卖价格指数
数据来源：Globaldairytrade
恒天然乳业预测本季节其产量会下降5%，有些人预测其产量会下降10%。对于乳制品产量的影响因素也有气候原因。随之新西兰开始逐步进入干旱季节，乳品产量可能由此受到影响进而使得价格受到上行压力。
另外，新西兰将在今日公布9月份移民人数，将是新西兰经济导向的另一个重要指标。尤其是对新西兰房价有直接的影响作用。
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