CMC Markets专栏: 美元仍显强势,欧日潜在下行
2015-12-23 10:17:12
来源：CMC Markets
编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载
上周美联储加息后，美元迅速走强，然而在随后的两日内继而回落，货币市场的博弈站中，谁与争锋？日本央行在宣布扩大宽松后，与欧洲央行同出一辙，投资者认为日本央行的扩大宽松并没有预期之力度，日元未跌反涨。但无论怎样，美国紧缩与欧、日宽松的政策终将是反差的对比。那么市场到底在玩的是什么把戏 ？
从技术形态上寻找潜在的信号与趋势，从以下图表中我们可以看到这样一些门道：美元依旧显其强势，短期内仍有可能继续上行，美指有再次挑战99以上的可能；欧元、日元仍显其潜在的再度下行趋势， 欧美潜在再行探底1.05，美日有望再次冲高123以上。
欧元/美元周线图上周收与前一周几乎等长的阴柱，有潜在短期筑顶的形态，如果能够顺利下破两周低点附近的位置，则可能再次打开下行的空间，下方的潜在空头目标有可能仍然在前低1.05附近。而上方的潜在阻力可能在连续两周高点1.1050附近。
美元/日元周线图上出现类似止跌坠形态，虽然这出现在周线图顶部附近，但形态上看，并不像是空头信号，反而是潜在的短期筑底上行信号。如果成功上破保利加通道中轨附近位置121.50附近，则有可能再次上探123.60附近。
而美元指数日线图中有潜在头肩底形态酝酿之中，目前位置在右肩附近，有可能在98.30附近上行，潜在目标在颈部附近99.35左右。
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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.
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