CMC Markets专栏: 黄金潜在筑堤空间与反弹目标
2015-12-11 14:01:39
来源：CMC Markets
编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载
美联储加息是否会使黄金再一次跳入深深水下？许多人认为黄金下探1000美元已是定局。但从最近美元的大幅回落与非美货币的全线反弹来看，美国加息可能未必是美元继续走强之定局。贵金属类大宗商品价格已经持续下行已久，主要是由于美元一年之余的强势上行所致，在各国经济逐步复苏之时，2016有可能是市场的反转之际，特别是对于黄金来讲，并不是像能源性商品原油或者生产原材料铜会根据市场供求而受到极为敏感影响。
而从技术形态来看，黄金有很大触底反弹的机会，这个低位必能够探到1000美元，有可能在1033-1055的空间就开始逐渐筑底；短期上方潜在的目标可能在1093-1109的区间。
结合以上图表能够看出，日线图中显示黄金短期内可能有回落的可能性，根据黄金分割延展线来看，下方的潜在支持位置可能在1055附近（23.6%），然后是1033（38.2%）。月线中的中长期上方空间将可能首看1134，然后是1200。
根据黄金日线图来看，短期的潜在上方目标有可能在1093-1109的区间（黄金分割延展线61.8%-100.0%）.
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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.
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