CMC Markets专栏: 原油再度跳水，股市呈现风险
2015-12-18 07:49:48
来源：CMC Markets
编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载
美联储昨日实行10年以来的第一次加息后，美元再次走强，导致大宗商品价格再次跳水至16年低位，使得股市昨日自开盘高位回落。
大宗商品与股市承压
纽约商品交易所原油期货价格再次破位35美元，下跌近1美元，昨日最低触及34.63美元。黄金从最高1073.43美元下跌20美元之1052美元附近。大宗商品价格下滑导致昨日全球股市高开低走。尤其是美国三大股指全线收跌，至美国股市晚盘时间，道琼斯指数下跌0.76%，美国标普指数下跌0.77%，纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.64%。
美国得克萨斯原油走势
数据来源：布伦伯格
美元指数与大宗商品指数相对走势
数据来源：布伦伯格
昨日在加息公布后，各大股指急速走高，是由于美联储加息给予了投资者对于市场经济前景的信心。但美元的再次走强，使得原油等大宗商品价格再次跳水，加之企业与银行间融资成本的提高，在当前全球经济仍然疲软的状况下，使得股市回落。
非美货币全线下跌
美元相对其他主要货币再次大幅走强，欧元/美元下跌100余点至1.08整数位置附近；美元/日元自昨日开盘上涨60余点至122.81；商品货币纷纷再度跳水，纽币/美元汇率下滑超100点至0.6694附近；澳币/美元跌100余点至0.7123；美元/加币上涨170余点至1.3956附近。
新兴市场面临压力
昨日，在美联储将联邦基金基准利率加息0.25个百分点后，香港金融管理局（HKMA）也随之提高了基准利率，将其核心利率由0.5%调高0.75个百分点至1.25%，自2008年以来第一次加息。这将会使得由于香港经济放缓的现状下，再度承受借贷成本升高的压力。HKMA首席执行官Norman Chan表示，美联储的决定意味着新兴市场的经济将会经历资本外流与货币汇率下滑，经济增长与资产市场的压力。
墨西哥央行如预期将基准利率上调0.25个百分点至3.25%，同样是自2008年以来的第一次加息。美元/墨西哥比索汇率自8月份以来一直高位运行，昨日小幅收涨，现行于17整数位置附近。目前，墨西哥央行协同秘鲁、哥伦比亚、智利巴西几国央行走上其加息旅程，主要是面临国内通胀率过高压力。加息带来的债务压力，使得新兴市场经济前景着实令人担忧。
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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.
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