CMC Markets专栏: 黄金潜在是否涨势再来？
2015-12-31 07:55:21
来源：CMC Markets
编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载
由于美元的再度走强，黄金近期持续低位运行，但始终未突破前低位置。这有可能是由于大宗商品等价格已经跌至历史低位，对于交易者来说，在此刻继续做空黄金并不是在风险与回报比例上较好的选择。加之，对冲基金会更倾向买入黄金以抵消部分风险。
技术形态上显示，12月份黄金有潜在的筑底形态，近日是月线图收盘的最后一天，也是2015年度的最后一个交易日，月线图上有可能会收底部类似十字星的形态。加之黄金日线图上双探底1046左右，始终无法突破下行。市场多头有可能等待时间以较廉价的价格逐步购入黄金。多头的潜在目标可能首先在1100，然后是1130附近。
在黄金的日线图中可以看出其在类似三角整理区间运行，有可能会在三角间断突破再选择方向。下方的潜在支持位置仍然在前低1046左右， 如果能够突破三角整理上行，则日线图中的潜在上行位置可能为1080，然后是1100。
月线图中黄金目前又遇下行通道下轨附近位置，并且此位置也是在黄金分割延展线61.8%回荡线的支持位置附近，如果能够成功反弹，则上方潜在的多头目标可能为1130，黄金分割延展线50.0%附近的位置。
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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.
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