CMC Markets专栏: 美国10月份制造业持续下行

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2015-11-03 07:23:44 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Max 文章类型：转载

美国10月份ISM制造业采购经理人指数录得50.1, 第二次触及下半年低位. 但仍然处于50盛衰线以上. 依旧受美元强势与能源价格下行影响, 美国制造业受到打压. 在18个领域调查中一半显示萎缩, 其中包括: 金属、汽油与塑料生产。

美国ISM制造业PMI

数据来源：美国ISM

与上周末中国公布的制造业采购经理人指数有相似之处的是，美国10月份PMI数据构成中用工与库存量出现明显下滑，制造业雇用人数创自2009年低位；出口与进口量仍就表现萎缩，分别录得47.5与47.0，出口连续第五个月萎缩。出厂价格有小幅上行，较上月上涨1个百分点，但仍然是表现最差的部分。

从本次PMI数据中的积极因素来看，新订单数量较9月份又明显提升，由50.1上至 52.9，生产量也有明显提高，由51.8上升至52.9，利好工厂生产量的主要行业为汽车制造业。

美国第三季度GDP第二次估值仅录得1.5%，主要受工厂库存量数据影响。整体美国第三季度经济仍就呈现疲软。虽然PMI与GDP并不是直接影响美联储加息决议的经济指标，但仍旧间接对其两项指标就业市场与通胀率产生侧面影响。虽然美联储示意12月份有望加息，但就目前经济数据来看其可能性并不很大。

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