CMC Markets专栏: 澳指200仍盘中整理

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2015-11-13 11:21:14 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：M. Niu 文章类型：转载

澳指200在8月份随全球股市大跌以来近三个月始终在4900点与5360点之间，由于美国加息预期、大宗商品价格下滑、中国进口减缓等种种因素导致澳指始终无法突破上行。澳洲指数200是既受美股市场影响亦受亚洲股市尤其是中国股市影响的股指产品，这与澳大利亚的国际贸易关系相关。

昨日公布的澳大利亚10月份就业数据远好于预期， 10月份就业人数5.86万人口，失业率下降到5.9%，远好于预期，澳指昨日受利好支持上涨但随后再次滑落。大宗商品尤其是原油价格的再次下滑，澳指200今日开盘跳空低开后先上反弹，现行于5042附近。

技术形态上看澳指短期仍有反弹的可能，短期潜在反弹位置可能在5145附近。但中长期仍然会持续在4900-5360的区间整理运行。

日线图

日线图上看，近期澳指有在下降楔形中整理下行的形态，目前在5000点整数位置，楔形下轨，也是黄金分割回荡线61.8%附近受到支持。此处支持位潜在的较为强有力的支持。有望上行突破反弹再次回到38.2%回荡线附近5145点附近。

月线图

月线图中澳指仍然在长期的上升趋势线上运行，连续4个月在4900-5000的区间受到支持，同时这里也是月线图黄金分割线38.2%回荡线的位置。中长期看，澳指200仍有可能在此上升趋势线上运行。

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