CMC Markets专栏: 日本经济萎缩,安倍定论落败？

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2015-11-17 07:38:13 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载

根据日本政府部门的统计，日本第三季度GDP环比下跌0.8%，同比第二季度下跌0.2%。这也许证实了许多经济学家的预测，日本经济进入了自总理安倍2012年12月任职后的第二次衰退。似乎安倍定律并为使得日本真正走出经济衰退的阴霾。

由于中国经济增长放缓与全球经济现状的担忧，日本商业投资缩减，企业库存量呈现萎缩，使得日本国内企业缩减开支并放缓生产。此次数据很可能导致日本总理安倍与央行行长Haruhiko Kuroda加大财政与货币的宽松力度。东京伊藤忠商事株式会社的一位经济学家称：“（第三季度经济）报告显示人本经济将继续其不良表现”，“对于资产投资支出的削弱成为最大的担忧。虽然（日本公司）对于其远景计划很有信心，但对于国内经济的弹性与国际经济的形势并不乐观”。

日本第三次经济报告显示，库存量较上季度下降0.5个百分点；商业投资较上季度缩减1.2个百分点；个人消费上涨0.3个百分点。另外，根据近期日本的一系列报告显示，日本居民消费滑落，机动车生产萎缩，零售数据与进口下滑，出口呈现停滞。

本周四将迎来日本央行的再一次货币政策内容的陈述与新闻发布会，根据日本经济现状，本次会议很可能使得日本央行再次加大其宽松力度。安倍已向其经济部长Akira Amari传达了为实现5年内日本GDP增长20%的目标，本月份需实行计划性措施的指示。Akira同时表示GDP有望本季度有所增长。

昨日日元兑美元再次下滑，现汇率行于123.20附近。

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