CMC Markets专栏: 香港恒生指数再显涨势

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2015-11-18 14:39:13 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载

今日国家统计局公布的中国10月份房价走势显示，中国27城新房价格环比上涨，38个城市同比上涨，加之十三五计划中对于住宅产业转型升级的措施的研究报告出台，中国地产股腿长股市全盘上扬。

香港恒生指数随中国股市行情影响可能再次出现上行迹象，年内有望再次上探潜在阻力位置23350点附近，但由于美国加息预期中国整体经济增速放缓的现状影响，中长期看，恒生指数难以再次回到长期涨势趋势中，可能会在21860-24500之间的空间整理运行。

从香港恒生指数周线图上看，近几周形成潜在的下行通道形态，有望形成潜在的向上旗形向上突破的形态。上方的第一潜在的阻力位置仍然在旗形顶部高点附近23350附近。只有顺利突破此位置，才会继续上探。

而月线图上显示，恒生指数在8月份跌破长期的上升趋势线后仍然难以形成突破性上涨，在经历两个月的反弹行情后，目前在21860附近受到支持，如果此位置能够坚守住，则长期来看可能在黄金分割线38.2%与23.6%两天回档线中运行，这个潜在区间可能在21860-24500之间。

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