CMC Markets专栏: 美股的全面回调潜在趋势
2015-12-08 10:45:21
来源：CMC Markets
编辑：M.Niu 文章类型：转载
在上周欧洲央行宽松力度不及预期让人失望后，美股与欧股便高位滑落。而后美国股市由于受到11非农数据强筋支持反弹，但由于美联储本月加息预期强烈，加之原油价格再次跳水导致昨日再次高位回撤。近日美国三大股指，道琼斯、标普指数与纳斯达克均逐步走出再次筑顶的形态，有潜在的全面回撤的迹象。
技术形态上，美国道琼斯指数有可能回调至潜在支持位置16980点附近；美国标普指数500有可能再次回撤试探整数位置2000点；而纳斯达克指数综合指数500有可能回调试探4425附近。
道指昨日受原油价格下滑影响高位回撤，日线图中受顶部类似止省锤的形态，基本在17900点附近形成近似平顶的阻力，此价格区间也是今年11初的阻力价格区间。由于对于美联储16-17日加息预期之强烈，很肯能形成潜在的双顶形态，下方的潜在支持位置（也是双顶颈线部位）可能在16980附近的区间。
美国标普指数形态与道指相似，同样是在顶部有可能回落，下方的潜在支持位置在2000整数位置附近（黄金分割线38.2%回荡线附近的区间）。
纳斯达克指数的日线图潜在双顶形态更为明显，11月3日至6日期间形成的明显小顶部与近日的潜在顶部价位基本吻合，如果受到美联储加息影响，其回调的潜在位置可能在4425附近。
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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.
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