CMC Markets专栏-澳币潜在支持位置与反弹目标

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2015-09-01 13:40:53 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

7月份澳洲本国建筑许可数据好于预期报得4.2%，然而受中国表现不佳的制造业PMI数据影响澳币继续承压下行。中国8月份制造业采购经理人指数录得49.7,同比上月下跌0.3个百分点,年内首次跌至盛衰临界线50以下.中国8月份财新制造业采购经理人指数录得47.3，连续5个月在临界线50以下，为年度内最低。

技术形态上看，澳币兑美元天图上仍然在近似下降楔形中整理下行，近日在三角区域内整理，有望在三角尖端突破下行再次挑战前低0.7040附近。周线图上看，使用黄金分割延展线从2014年9月7日高点至2015年3月29日低点向下，以5月10日作为反弹高点，则可以看到61.8%回荡线附近的位置亦为0.7040左右的价格，可以说明此支持位置为较为有力支持位。短期内澳币的潜在反弹目标可以寻找50.0%回荡线附近，同时也是通道顶部附近的位置0.7250左右。

另外需要关注的是澳洲时间下午2点30分澳联储将公布其官方利率与议息会议内容，预期为澳洲官方利率保持2%不变。澳联储将对于澳洲近期的经济形势与澳币走势作出进一步阐释。

如有更多问题，欢迎致电：澳大利亚免费中文电话：1300 668 268
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作者：Tina Teng- CMC Markets 销售与客户培训主管

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