CMC Markets专栏: 澳币是否已在底部？‏

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2015-09-30 10:32:20 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

在上午的文章中提及，高盛集团资产管理开始买入澳币，认为市场对于中国经济的担忧过于严重，同时，由于美联储取消9月份进行加息的决定，使得澳币会有可能出现大幅度的反弹。高盛集团基金经理Philip Moffitt认为澳币对美元有可能反弹至75美分左右。澳大利亚也开始增加对于新兴市场的国债的购买，如墨西哥、巴西等国的债务资产。

我们对此观点表示认同，基本面支持理由在以前的文章中有所提及。结合技术层面来看，澳币对美元有可能出现底部反转，潜在的反弹目标分别为0.7200，0.7540。

从短期形态来看，日线图中澳币/美元在0.6900附近连续出现支持，昨日有类似底部十字星的形态出现，日内澳币很有可能向上试探100天均线与61.8%黄金分割线回荡线重合的位置0.7050附近。如果能够顺利突破，则上方的潜在目标将可能为0.7140附近。

周线图上看，9月6日-9月20日连续两周的反弹，可以看出澳币有强势的买盘出现，很有可能在前底的位置再次出现反弹，如果能够在此筑底成功，则上方的潜在多头目标可能分别在0.7200，0.7390，0.7540。

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