CMC Markets专栏: 消息面打压纽币短期回撤

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2015-10-14 10:27:23 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

主要受猪肉与蔬菜价格回落影响, 中国刚刚公布的9月份居民消费价格指数录得1.6%, 差于预期1.8%. 中国经济增长放缓仍然持续. 今日的新西兰央行行长Wheeler的讲话中表示由于全球经济形势影响, 新西兰央行仍有可能实行进一步的货币宽松, 纽币顺势下滑后反弹整理. 技术形态上看, 纽币对美元在关键阻力位置出现回撤迹象, 潜在回撤位置可能在0.6460-0.6500的区间. 当长期图表上看仍然有望筑底成功, 在回撤后继续向上反弹, 潜在目标可能在0.6920附近. 这与基本面也并无绝对的对立关系, 原因在过去的文章中已经提过.

技术图形:

周线图/日线图

短期图形日线图上可以看到纽币对美元在保利加通道上轨附近受阻呈压, 此位置也恰好与过去的强阻力位置0.6730附近吻合. 连续的多日涨势使得指标信号也进入超买区域, 无论是此处获利回吐还是空头进场都可能使得纽币在此回撤, 下方潜在的潜在回撤空间可能在保利加通道中轨附近0.6460. 而长期走势图周线图上能够反映出潜在筑底形态仍在进行中, 有可能出现周线图底部头肩底的筑底形态. 在此如果假设右肩正在形成过程中, 则近日运行的区间将可能在0.6460-0.6730的空间. 如果能够突破此区间则上方进一步的多头目标将有可能在0.6920附近. 另外, 技术指标MACD与STOCH均在超卖区域有向上插入形态, 也是支持潜在底部形态的另一依据.

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