CMC Markets专栏: 纽币有望继续上行‏

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2015-10-16 10:37:19 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

上篇文章所提及的纽币的短期回调位置没有到达，但上涨目标基本与预期吻合在0.69附近。

今日公布的新西兰第三季度消费价格指数（CPI）录得0.3%，好于预期值0.2%。根据新西兰《资本经济学家》研究报告，新西兰第三季度CPI数据表现良好，央行在10月份可能不会再次降息。新西兰第二季度通胀率（除食品与汽油）有望由-1.4%升至-0.7%。纽币对美元汇率昨日最高冲高至0.6897，今日有所回调，截至本文撰写时间运行于0.6834。

技术形态上看，纽币/美元有望短期内回调至0.6730-0.6750区间的可能性，但仍然涨势较强，回撤后有继续向上挑战0.7180附近阻力位的可能性。

周线图/日线图

短期技术形态日线图上看，纽币/美元在保利加通道顶部有受阻下行的迹象，有可能会回撤到0.6730-0.6750短期支撑位置（黄金分割线23.6%）的可能性。此位置将是潜在的强支持位置，多头有在此价格空间继续加仓推涨纽币的可能性。

长期技术形态周线图上看，纽币/美元已经突破保利加通道中轨，有向上轨0.7180附近继续测试的可能性，此位置将有可能是潜在的进一步多头目标，同时也是前期低点所构成的支持位置。

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