CMC Markets专栏: 欧元仍然强守支持位置‏

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2015-10-21 11:12:35 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

本周五将迎来欧洲央行对于欧元区货币政策内容的新闻发布会，虽然欧洲央行在今年年初示意可能实行0利率甚至负利率，进一步放大宽松以促进经济增长，但是行长德拉吉在9月份的会议上表示欧洲是否实行进一步宽松要以未来的经济形势为依据。近两个月以来欧洲大国数据表现较为平稳，表明复苏有望。加之美国暂时取消加息，使得欧元日益走强。欧元作为世界第二大货币体系被投资者示做避险性货币，在目前全球经济形势下，投资者风险偏好降低，欧元很可能再次逐步成为主要投资对象。

技术形态

技术图形上看，欧元对美元有可能在短期内进入横盘整理时期，如果美国本年度内不能实行加息，则欧元很可能冲破阻力位置打开进一步的上行空间。

日线图

日线图上保利加通道走出短期的平行形态，欧元/美元短时期内有可能在其上轨与下轨之间调整运行，这个潜在区间可能在1.1100-1.1450之间。近日可能会有再次挑战上轨附近1.1450价位可能性，同时结合技术指标可以看出Stoch与MACD均有潜在向下死叉的迹象出现，欧元可能会走出冲高后回撤的形态。下方重要支持位置在1.1100附近。

周线图

周线图上明显可以看出欧元/美元在近似上升三角形的区域内作整理，其中两个重要的潜在强支持位置在1.0800附近与1.1100附近。理论上讲，上升三角形向上突破的可能性比较大，如果欧元对美元在此区间内整理突破上行，则下方第一潜在支持位置1.1100附近将可能是重要多头进场的价格，中长期上方潜在目标可能在1.0800附近。

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