CMC Markets专栏: 澳币潜在上行空间
2015-11-03 10:37:21
来源:CMC Markets
编辑:向阳 文章类型:转载
之前澳币预期未能如愿顺利上行,主要是由于美联储12月份加息预期所致,使得澳币上周大幅回撤。虽然如此,澳币仍旧坚守住对美元0.7060附近的支持位置而向上反弹。时间今日下午澳洲时间2点30分,新西兰时间4点30分将迎来澳联储议息决议,市场预期为2.0不变。由于低利率的刺激,第三季度出口量有明显提升,第三季度GDP有望改善。整体经济形势看,澳联储本次实行降息的可能性很小。
而从澳币的盘面上看,澳币仍有机会在本年度内整理上行,上方的潜在空间仍然可能分别在0.7200, 0.7350,0.7530的位置。
技术形态
日线图上澳币/美元走出近似下降通道的整理形态,目前有望再次向上试探0.7200附近的阻力位置,而下方的潜在支持位置有可能在0.7050-0.7060的区间。如果能够顺利突破此下行通道,则有可能打开进一步的上行空间。

月线图上同样能够反映出澳币的潜在筑底形态,技术指标有在超卖区上行的迹象。如果以黄金分割延展线分析上方的潜在多头目标,其潜在位置分别为0.7200,0.7380,0.7530附近。

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