CMCMarkets专栏-一张图观察黄金潜在反弹机会‏

澳华财经在线：首页 > 市场观察 > 期货

2015-08-27 14:29:09 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

黄金不仅是传统意义上避险产品的好选择，也是绝大部分投机客的偏爱，黄金既是各国储备银行必备的用以平衡汇率与国际收支的金融产品，也可以作为工业生产的原材料，而黄金首饰和摆饰又使其具有了普通商品的属性。黄金是投资者可爱又可恨的爱不释手又抛之不去的“情人”。我们如何在最近黄金的大幅波动中寻找时机呢？从黄金的一张月线图中，我们可以看出这样一些有趣的规律。

如下图所示，自2013年5月份，黄金就开始一轮阶梯形的下行走势，阶梯的底部分别出现在2013年6月份，2013年12月份与2014年11月份，2015年7月份也就是上个月与本月份现在的形态很像是走出了同一类型的形态，8月份还有3天的时间即将收盘。我们是否可以假设此轮黄金的底部形态再次筑底完成呢？这个可能性非常大。如果黄金能够重复之前的形态继续向上反弹，则第一个多头的目标将在月线图的趋势线的中线附近，这个位置很可能在1150附近；如果此位置被突破则下一个目标则可能看到上方趋势线顶部1220附近。那么现在是不是入场的时机？还需要等待足够充分的信号出现。从短期图日线图来看，黄金近日还有可能在1116至1138之间作整理，下放支持位置将在日线图黄金分割线的61.8%附近1116左右，这里如果出现筑底的形态或者多头的信号则是最好的多仓入场的价格区间。

作者：Tina Teng- CMC Markets 销售与客户培训主管

Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.

Tags: CMCMarkets 黄金