CMC Markets专栏-原油终于迎来了这一刻！‏

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2015-08-28 11:56:43 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

美国得克萨斯原油昨日创6年来最大涨幅，由38.576一路上涨近4美元，在撰本文时间CMC Markets市场报价在42.619。市场的这一波大动作买涨的行为是否原油将由此上行？从技术图形中，我们可以看到原油继续上行的可能性非常大，下一个潜在的多头目标将在46.50附近。有多重信号可以说明这个价格的区间：

第一，随机震荡指标Stochastic与价格形成完美牛离，目前正现在向上叉过20%的超卖分界线，是多头发力的明显信号；

第二， MACD也出现近似的金叉信号，而且在买入动能线上出现向上反战的多头信号；

第三，从日线图上看价格目前占到保利加通道中轨之上，下一个潜在多头目标将在上轨附近，价格降在46.60附近；

第四，虽然价格还未冲破黄金分割线（从6月3 日高点向下拉伸至近期低点）的23.6%回荡线，然而这个机会非常大，则第二个反弹目标可寻找38.2%回荡线附近，价格亦在46.50附近。

然而需要提醒的是，原油在短时期之内仍然有在42到46.50附近调整的可能性，只有顺利突破这一个区间，才会继续其中的涨势。从月图上看，其近期的阻力位置亦是在46美元附近，如果能够顺利突破则下一个潜在目标将是61美元附近，中长期潜在价格目标将在100天与200天均线交叉处，这个价格是88美元左右。

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作者：Tina Teng- CMC Markets 销售与客户培训主管

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