CMC Markets专栏: 黄金涨势是否会继续?
2015-09-22 14:34:55
来源:CMC Markets
编辑:Max 文章类型:转载
黄金近日持续上涨,基本面支持的原因有二:一是由于近期市场的动荡而引发的避险情绪;二是美联储保持利息不变,使得美元大幅回落。那么黄金是否会持续期涨势,这一波涨势能够持续多久?技术形态上来看,黄金仍然可能继续保持强势,但短期内可能会出现小幅回撤,潜在目标在1115-1126的区间。而上方进一步潜在的多头目标可能在1150,然后是1180附近。
日线图上来看,黄金近三日的涨势后在昨日收一根主体较长的阴柱,形成潜在的顶部空头信号,短期内黄金有可能出现回调,潜在的回调区间可能在1115-1126的区间(黄金分割回荡线23.6%-38.2%)。
从长期技术图形月线图上来看,黄金8月份的阳柱给出潜在的多头信号,此位置也是黄金在长期下降趋势通道底部的位置,9月份以来黄金走出回撤然后再次上涨的形态,目前在月线图中黄金分割线61.8%回荡线1150-1154附近的位置受压。在月线图MACD随机震荡指标上看,指标与价格有潜在的牛背离形态形成,黄金很可能会突破阻力位置继续上涨,如果能够突破1150-1154附近的位置,则黄金进一步的潜在上行目标可能在月线图100天均线附近1178-1180的区间位置。



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