CMC Markets专栏: 黄金的潜在回撤空间

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2015-10-19 12:41:37 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

由于避险情绪推涨黄金，自本月以来黄金持续上涨近60美元，最高触及1190美元/盎司以上。由于上周四与周五两日美元由小幅反弹，黄金也顺势受阻轻度下行。整体经济现状上分析，由于美联储延迟加息、美元持续下行与风险偏好的减弱，黄金长期仍然可能再次挑战高位1200美元附近的价格，但在技术形态上，出现受阻下行的信号，有短期回撤的迹象。回撤目标可能在1132-1147的空间。

技术形态

日线图：

短期技术图形日线图上看，黄金自7月份迅速下滑后逐步回稳反弹并运行于上行通道中，目前在通道顶部受阻，有下行迹象。特别是周四与周五呈现潜在的顶部形态，有望回撤试探下方支撑位置1147附近（黄金分割线38.2%），然后是1132附近（黄金分割线50.0%）。

月线图：

从长期技术图形月线上看，黄金可能继续其潜在楔形整理走势，本月已经突破楔形中线位置，有望回撤后继续向上挑战楔形上轨。根据黄金分割线延展线，上方的重要的潜在阻力位置可能在1195-1200的空间。如果能够突破此位置，黄金有可能打开进一步上行空间。

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