CMC Markets专栏: 原油潜在双筑底, 低位反弹!
原油近期主要是低位整理形态, 主要是由于各产油区无意减产反而增产, 导致全球市场供大于求的现状更加严峻. 但也许形式在今日的欧派克会议上能有转机的机会. 由沙特阿拉伯召集, 今日欧派克国际以及俄罗斯将在维也纳召开会议商谈关于原油减产适宜, 如果商谈能够达成结果, 则将是原油反弹的大好时机. 同时, 大部分媒体观点认为除沙特以外, 其他产油国为抢占市场, 无意减产.
昨日欧洲央行决议放大宽松, 欧元大涨, 美元高位重度下滑, 大宗商品类价格触底反弹, 原油价格也顺势大涨, 美国德克萨斯原油价格大涨1.5美元.
从技术形态上看,原油短期有双筑底的潜在形态,有可能迎来进一步反弹,短期的上方潜在目标在43.15-43.45的区间.但如果今日会议结果并不能够给多头足够的信心,则也有可能再次探底34-37美元的空间.但长期图形上看,原油下行空间或将有限,可能会逐步筑底上行.如果能够顺利上破46美元的位置并且站稳,则可能将打开上行趋势.

日线图美国德克萨斯原油走在下降楔形的通道整理空间,如今在通道顶部受到阻力,有可能会会调至39.90附近的空间,但由于在11月23日与昨日有潜在的双重筑底迹象,有可能会突破通道整理上行,上方的潜在位置在43.45附近.

月线图上看,美原油下方的潜在支持位置可能会在8月份低点37.42美元附近,但也存在再次下探08年低位35美元附近的可能.如果长期看涨的投资者,34-37区间有可能是进场的较好价为.
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