CMC Markets专栏: 美股下行风险-道指潜在跌势

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2015-06-29 10:47:00 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：向阳 文章类型：转载

美国9月份生产价格指数与核心零售数据均有不良表现，美国通胀率持续低迷使得美联储几乎年度之内加息无望。昨日由于美国沃尔玛公司股票下滑10%，给美国经济敲响警钟，道琼斯与美国标普指数均有回撤。美国道琼斯指数30在连续两日冲高后再次跌落17000点以内。技术形态上，美国道琼斯指数出现短期潜在的头部形态，有可能回撤至16500附近的可能性。

日线图

日线图上道指自8月份急速下滑后持续在潜在的上升通道中整理，目前在通道顶部有受阻迹象，有望回落继续通道整理。上方的潜在阻力位置在本周高点17170点附近，连续四日的顶部短小柱体暗示多头动能减弱，加之受黄金分割线61.8%阻力位压力，道指将有可能受阻下行，下放潜在支撑为16500点附近。美股有可能仍未完成修正，如果跌破日线图中短期上升通道，有可能打开进一步的下跌空间。

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