CMC Markets专栏-澳指200的潜在技术形态反弹
2015-09-03 11:44:52
来源:CMC Markets
编辑:Mary 文章类型:转载
昨日澳大利亚第二季度GDP录得0.2%,远差于前值0.9%, 有可能使澳洲2015年GDP年增长率预期由2.5%下调至2.0%。今日刚刚公布的7月份零售销售数据出现负增长-0.1%。7月份贸易平衡好于预期,录得-24.6亿。整体数据仍然显示第二季度以来澳洲经济的疲软。由于基本面的数据具有滞后性,从技术形态上远观市场前景,澳指200有潜在技术形态反弹趋势。
在日线图中,澳指200短期内有望小幅反弹后继续冲低试探4900附近。此时澳指在三角区域中整理运行,目前运行于三角整理区间的底部5060附近,有望在此出现小幅度反弹,潜在的反弹目标可看三角区间上方边界线位置5250附近,这里恰好与保利加通道中轨重合,同时也是黄金分割线50%分割线的位置。此三角整理向下突破的可能性比较大,遇阻后下行潜在目标将有可能试探保利加通道下轨4900附近的位置。

从澳指200月线图上看仍然在一个长期的上升通道中运行,上周的大幅下滑仍然没有跌破此上升趋势线,如今在通道底部5000整理,有望继续沿上升通道上行。潜在的多头买入价为将在日线图中所反映的下方支持位置4900附近,上方潜在的多头目标首看5440附近(黄金分割线61.8%)。

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作者:Tina Teng- CMC Markets 销售与客户培训主管

如有更多问题,欢迎致电:澳大利亚免费中文电话:1300 668 268
开设免费模拟账户,无风险演练交易
作者:Tina Teng- CMC Markets 销售与客户培训主管
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