本周五将迎来美国联邦市场公开委员会(FOMC)会议内容的发布,届时美联储官员将对于其货币政策与经济展望在新闻发布上进行公布,市场的主要焦点集中在美联储是否会在17日决定对联邦基金利率进行上调. 根据布伦伯格的调查结果显示,美联储在本月加息的可能性由6个月以前的75%下滑至目前的26%.大多数经济学家认为美联储在17日不会实行加息.特别是在中国实行人民币贬值以后, 对于9月份加息可能性的预期骤降.
 
9月美国加息可能性调查
 
 
数据来源:布伦伯格 
 
市场反应出现分歧现象, 说明投资者对于美国本次加息的不确定性.  出于美国加息导致融资成本的增加, 全球股市自8月份大幅下滑,反映了投资者对于此轮加息的预前准备.货币市场方面, 美元多日持续下行回落, 欧元, 日元逐步走强. 美国国债收益率始终在1.17-2.22之间低位运行. 
 
昨日全球股市均显小幅收跌, 道琼斯指数下滑0.38%, 收盘16370.96; 标普指数500下滑0.41%, 收盘1953.03; 纳斯达克指数下滑0.34%, 收盘4805.76.欧洲股市表现弱势下行,英国富实指数收跌0.54%,收盘6084.59;德指收跌0.31%,收盘10148.55.亚洲股市方面, 日经指数收跌1.8%, 收盘17968.92; 香港恒生指数收跌1.31%, 收盘21363.0, 收盘21561.90; 澳大利亚指数200收跌0.93%, 收盘5079.74. 
 
货币市场方面, 美元继续呈下行趋势, 反映大部分投资者并不对美国加息预期买账. 美元对日元昨日小幅收跌0.22%,收盘120.23; 欧元对美元虽然昨日小幅回调, 然而仍显强势, 目前在1.1300以上浮动; 澳币(0.7130),纽币(0.6326),加币(美元/加币 1.3256)商品性货币对美元均由反弹上行态势, 澳币表现最为突出, 上周涨幅达2.5%. 
 
美国国债市场方面, 美国10年期国债收益率下降至2.18%, 暗示其对于美国加息已经做好准备. 国债收益率在过去的5个交易日内在2.17到2.22之间浮动.



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