CMC Markets专栏-道琼斯指数有望进一步下行
美国联邦公开市场委员会在17日即将宣布是否会在本月实行自2006年以来第一次加息,投资者对此作出提前反应。全球股市在8月份均有大幅下滑。美国道琼斯指数在8月24日出现史上最大下滑,最大程度达千点,而后出现数日反弹迹象。从技术形态上看,道指有继续下行的潜在形态,下方潜在的空头目标可能为16000附近,15320附近。
日线图

日线图上看, 道指在三角区域内进行整理,此时在三角尖端运行,即将选择方向,此位置也是保利加通道中轨位置,目前受压难以突破,昨日日线图收一根短小阴柱,可能为潜在的空头信号。根据stoch随即震荡指标,其与日线价格出现明显的熊背离信号。根据多重信号表明,道指很有可能继续下行,下方潜在目标为16000(黄金分割线23.6%),然后是15320-15500(保利加通道下轨至前低的空间)。
周线图

周线图上看,道指目前在黄金分割线38.2%附近呈压,有可能回调至16000附近(黄金分割23.6%)。进一步证明了潜在的下行趋势与潜在空头目标。

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