CMC Markets专栏-CPI现负增长 美联储加息无望
2015-09-17 09:42:41
来源:CMC Markets
编辑:Mary 文章类型:转载
昨日美国公布的8月份居民消费价格指数录得-0.1%,出现3月份以来的首次负增长.使得美联储加息的可能性近乎无望.根据路透社调查结果80位经济学家中有45位认为美联储在本次会议中将保持短期利率不变.
美国月度CPI百分比


根据美国劳动统计局数据显示,影响本次数据主要因素为能源分类中燃料价格的影响.燃料价格指数(12个月未经过季节性调整) 录得-34.6, 整体能源类消费价格指数录得-15. 除食品与能源类,8月份居民消费核心价格指数增长0.1%.
美国12个月CPI与核心CPI走势图


美国8月份CPI产品分类列表


数据来源:美国劳动统计局
通货膨胀率与就业市场为美联储货币政策的两大指标,长期低迷的低通胀数据是抑制美国加息决定的主要因素。今日美国联邦市场公开委员会(FOMC)货币政策会议开幕,将对是否加息进行辩驳。昨日的数据可以说是给加息的支持者泼了一泼冷水。另外,昨日美国金融市场的隔夜基准利率在数据公布前并无明显变化。多方面表明市场并不认为9月份为美联储实行加息的时间。
市场反应上,全球股市全线上扬,尤其受中国股市大幅反弹影响,香港恒生指数出现突破性上涨500余点,涨幅2.38%。货币方面,美元继续呈下行态势,各非美货币持续反弹态势,美元/日元出现呈压态势;欧元、英镑经过三日回调后再次出现反弹迹象;受大宗商品价格的回升,纽币、澳币、加币等商品货币出现大幅上扬。大宗商品均有明显上涨,美国得克萨斯原油昨日上2.5美元,收盘47.16美元/桶;黄金上涨近15美元/盎司,收盘1119.56;铜上涨1.05%,收盘245.38美分/磅。
全球各大股指走势(9月16日)

数据来源:布伦伯格


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Investing in CFDs carries significant risks and is not suitable for all investors. Losses can exceed your deposits. You do not own, or have any interest in, the underlying assets. We recommend that you seek independent advice and ensure you fully understand the risks involved before trading. The information in this Market Commentary has been prepared by CMC Markets using information from external sources, believed to be accurate and reliable at the time it was sourced. It is general information only. Neither CMC Markets, its subsidiaries, nor any director, employee or agent of CMC Markets gives any guarantee, representation or warranty as to the reliability, accuracy or completeness of the information contained in the Market Commentary, nor accepts any responsibility or liability arising in any way (including by reason of negligence) for errors in, or omissions from, the information in the Market Commentary to the fullest extent permitted by law. In preparing this Market Commentary, CMC Markets did not take into account your objectives, financial situation and needs. Consequently, you should consider the information in light of your objectives, financial situation and needs. It's important for you to consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and any other relevant CMC Markets Documents before you decide whether or not to acquire any of the financial products. Our Financial Services Guide contains details of our fees and charges. All of these documents are available at cmcmarkets.com.au or you can call us on 1300 303 888.
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