CMC Markets专栏-德指的潜在弱势下行形态
2015-09-18 14:50:40
来源:CMC Markets
编辑:Mary 文章类型:转载
德国9月份ZEW经济敏感度调查指数录得12.1,低于长期均值24.9,呈自3月份以来持续下滑走势。主要由于新兴市场经济的放缓使得德国出口受到影响。ZEW主席教授表示由于外部需求减弱因素影响,短期内出口将不太可能得到刺激性增长。

数据来源:德国ZEW数据研究中心
技术形态上看,日线图中德指有望进一步下行,很可能继续下行突破10000点关口,日线图上出现潜在的三角区域整理后突破下行的形态,前日的类似顶部十字星与昨日的短小阴柱给出现在的进一步下行信号。潜在的下行目标很可能进一步挑战10000整数位关口,然后是前低9300点附近的位置。月线图上显示,德指30在8月份大跌回调后目前受压于黄金分割线23.6%回荡线的位置,如果受阻下行,则下方的潜在空头目标可能在9000整数位(38.2%回荡线),然后是8000整数位(50.0%回荡线)。
同时月线图随即震荡技术指标均显示有超买区域潜在的死叉下行信号,进一步说明德指目前的潜在空头形态。

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