CMC Markets专栏: 中国制造业回稳,恒指有望上行‏

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2015-11-02 12:24:03 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

中国周末公布的财新10月份制造业采购经理人指数录得48.3，好与预期值47.7，较上月47.2有明显回升迹象，创四个月以来新高。配合上周市场整体形势，由于中国及欧洲地区经济逐步出现回稳迹象，可以看到各国均对于现行经济政策暂时保持不变并对未来的全球紧急走势进行观望。

中国沪指近期出现温和反弹，并进入横盘整理形态。配合中国股市，香港恒生指数亦在盘间整理，短期内可能会在横盘底部反弹，但仍会在22200-23500的区间运行，而长期走势来看需要有突破性的上涨才能够进一步打开上行空间。

技术形态

周线图中可以看出近期底部已经形成较为牢固的支持空间20300-22200这一区域，上方的黄金分割线的两个回荡线之间的空间22200-23500，将有可能成为第二个反弹区域的运行空间。

月线图中可以看出恒生指数仍旧在8月份下破上升趋势线后，在底部出现反弹迹象，但只有能够顺利回到上升趋势线以上才有可能打开进一步的上涨空间。中长期的潜在的上方重要的阻力位置可能在50.0%反弹回荡线附近的位置24400。

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