CMC Markets专栏: 三大股指面临下行风险,短期潜在支持位置何在
2015-12-18 13:47:29
来源:CMC Markets
编辑:Mary 文章类型:转载
昨日在加息公布后,各大股指急速走高,是由于美联储加息给予了投资者对于市场经济前景的信心。但美元的再次走强,使得原油等大宗商品价格再次跳水,加之企业与银行间融资成本的提高,在当前全球经济仍然疲软的状况下,使得股市回落。美国股市高位运行已久,自8月份大幅回调后逐步反弹回调。美联储昨日加息代表其将逐步实行财政政策收紧的开始。加息“双刃剑”下美国三大股指高位回调并非是非正常走势。
但技术形态上体现出三大股指仍呈现下行压力,那么短期内美国三大股指的潜在支持位置分别在哪里?
三个股指目前均运行与横盘整理的通道中,短期内或将继续下探通道底部位置,通过使用黄金分割线来看,美国道琼斯指数下方的潜在支持位置在17150附近,美国标普指数500仍然面临挑战2000整数位置的风险,美国纳斯达克指数100的潜在下行目标在4480左右。如果这些位置被下行突破,则空头可能再行跟入而导致美股市场的再度修正。根据17位官方人员的预测,至2016年底,美联储将提高其基准利率至1.375%,这意味着在明年一年之内,美联储将有可能持续季度性加息。其他国家可能将纷纷加入加息行列而使得经济增长放缓,经济大环境下投资者需要警惕股市下行风险。


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